Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000180 0.000223 0.000281
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000186 0.000242 0.000318
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000197 0.000267 0.000368
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000203 0.000286 0.000410
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000067 0.000097 0.000143 0.000211 0.000308 0.000457
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093 0.000142 0.000216 0.000325 0.000498
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000221 0.000343 0.000542
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000087 0.000140 0.000227 0.000362 0.000589
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000233 0.000383 0.000640
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000240 0.000403 0.000693
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000244 0.000421 0.000744
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000078 0.000140 0.000252 0.000446 0.000809
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000260 0.000472 0.000879
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000263 0.000489 0.000932
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000038 0.000073 0.000142 0.000275 0.000522 0.001019
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000141 0.000279 0.000542 0.001082
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000070 0.000141 0.000286 0.000568 0.001160
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000139 0.000289 0.000585 0.001223
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000032 0.000065 0.000138 0.000293 0.000605 0.001291
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000064 0.000138 0.000298 0.000629 0.001369
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000063 0.000138 0.000304 0.000655 0.001454